They will, but if they were to return to the status quo it’ll be through weaker and weaker retaliation attacks. The ol’ deescalation through escalation that we’ve seen them do many times in the past.

You can’t hide damage of that significance. Both Israel and Iran lie about the extent of the damages, but damage can be verified. You can’t hide dead commanders or hide from satellite images. We tend to have a good idea of what happened shortly after.

In this case, Iran has admitted to a lot of the damages that Israel claimed and a few other of their claims can be verified with satellite imagery. However, Israel hasn’t admitted to any strategic damage by Iran nor has there been any verification for the damages that aimed for. Iran can say they aimed for something, that doesn’t mean they did. They can claim they hit something, doesn’t mean they did.

I understand being skeptical of Israel because they’re a dubious source, especially when they’re one of the parties involved. That being said, we’re at the point where we can tell that Iran’s missle barrage yesterday didn’t do much.

makes their iron dome useless

Just an FYI, the Iron Dome is not designed to intercept missles. It’s designed to intercept short range rockets and artillery. This means that the Iron Dome probably wasn’t used at all yesterday. Instead, other systems like Arrow, David’s Sling, and THAAD were used since these systems were actually designed to counter missles.

Iran doesn’t recognize Israel so they won’t have any direct negotiations any time soon.

Well, they did. That’s just a basic observation based on what happened. Hating Israel is fine, hating Israel to the point where you start thinking any criticism of anything that’s not Israel = being pro Israel is not okay.

Countries do this in general because those projectiles are violating these countries’ sovereignty. Iran doesn’t ask these countries for permission to have their missiles go through their airspace, they just do it. No country is going to allow another country to endanger it’s people by sending through its borders without their consent, so they just take them down.

In this case, Jordan is under the protection of the US and they have American bases and use American systems. So when something like this happens, Jordan works in coordination with the US to take the missles over its borders.

People on here lack any nuance. They view any criticism of Iran as support for Israel even that’s not the case.

A paper tiger doesn’t necessarily mean that a country is weak, it just means that a country is weaker than it is perceived. It’s a relative term. Iran is much stronger than my home country of Iraq, whom they have thoroughly abused. However, Iraqis in general think that Iran is actually a weak country relative to, say for example, Turkey, who has similar base stats.

The Iranian regime portrays itself as this mighty and powerful power that contend with the West, and here in the West we make Iran seem like it’s as powerful as the Soviet Union was… But in reality their strength has been greatly exaggerated by propaganda both inside and outside the country, and their actual capabilities are far less than they are on paper, hence why it’s a paper tiger.

You could make the same argument for Russia. Before the Ukraine war both Putin’s regime and the West believed that Russia’s military was world’s second most powerful and that they’re strong enough to take on the US… At least in theory. But as it turns out, Russia is way weaker than anybody expected and they keep getting pushed back by Ukraine. Russia is still strong, but they’re also a paper tiger.

Except it didn’t. If anything their response proves my point. It is such a weak response compared what Israel did to them. Think about it, what did their retaliation actually accomplish? Most of the missles didn’t hit, and the very few that did hit didn’t hit any strategic targets. They literally only hit random some random buildings and caused some civilian injuries… That’s it. Compared to what Israel did to them that’s nothing.

They’re all a part of the same coalition that is under US protection and against the influence of Iran and Turkey.

Only brainless zealots view factual reality as a propaganda narrative. This is doubly true when they can’t even verbalize what their stance is, they’re just mad because their distorted and myopic worldview has been mildly challenged. It’s like the NPC meme but irl.

I doubt the full 300 would’ve done much tbh. Only like 7 of the 100 or so missles actually hit anything this time around. So if we triple the results for 300 missles, that’s only 21 hitting targets. Even if we become generous and assume an extra 7 hit anything to even the number of successful hits to 30, that’s still only a 10% success rate. Sure, 30 targets is way more impactful than 7, but that’s not exactly enough to even shock Israel, especially when you consider how weak the payload is on these missles.

Imagining asking a question and then insulting the person who put in effort answering. You’re a clown.

The Iranian theocracy over the past few years has been feeling real pressure because of how badly Israel has exposed them. Consider what Israel has done to them:

• Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran

• Hezbollah got neutered

• The Iranian embassy in Syria got bombed

• They completely lost their proxies in Syria

• They lost the Al Assad regime

• They had their proxy groups in Palestine, Hamas and the PIJ, get bombed into oblivion

• Their oil infrastructure keeps getting bombed and damaged

• They had military bases inside country get attacked

• Their nuclear facilities keep getting attacked and damaged

• They had a bunch of their military leaders assassinated

• They keep losing their top nuclear scientists

• Mossad has repeatedly shown that it’s so balls deep in Iran’s affairs that they’re borderline running the country

Keep in mind this is just Israel, they’re also facing pressure from the US, UAE, KSA, and EU. The Iranian regime has shown time and time again that they won’t do anything substantial no matter what. It’s a sign that Iran hasn’t done anything because they can’t, which means they’re a paper tiger.

This is just external pressure. Internally, they’re also feeling the squeeze because the people DESPISE them:

There are massive protests in Iran every other year since the late 2000s. Here are some recent examples:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahsa_Amini_protests

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021–2022_Iranian_protests

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–2020_Iranian_protests

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018–2019_Iranian_general_strikes_and_protests

The mullahs and their regime have completely lost their legitimacy to the people of Iran and they’re only still in power because they still have the military on their side which they use to oppress the people. The regime’s only way to stay in power is to rule through fear and violence.

On top of this, Iran also has major separatist movements like Kurdistan, Balochistan, Iranian Azerbaijan, and the Arabs in Khuzestan. These groups and regions comprises half the country, and they all want out. The theocracy has to spend an insane amount of effort keeping them down.

So between power moves by foreign powers, the separatists, and the general population, the theocrats are getting squeezed from all sides. This means that the regime is very fragile and they could get ousted from power easily if they show too much weakness.

That sounds like a glorified proxy war than an actual world war. Nobody wants to fight on the behalf of Iran. Most countries are going to distance themselves from the regime, and a few of the more isolated countries will maybe give them weapons… That’s about it.

Israel bombed Iran because they know they won’t be able to respond. They called them out on their bluff again and Iran did nothing again. Israel has been humiliating Iran for the past several years and they basically dismantled Iran’s entire foreign strategy in the region, a strategy they’ve spent billions and decades working on.

A global war can only happen when the opposing side has enough weight to fight back and bring allies alongside it. Iran doesn’t have this capability.

The Gulf states aren’t going to fight Israel. If they do join the war, they’ll be fighting alongside Israel.

Iran has proven to the world that it is a paper tiger. It is horrendously weak, incompetent, corrupt, and unstable. Israel over the last few years has humiliated them time and time again, and Iran hasn’t been able to respond in kind. The theocracy regime is now feeling the squeeze both internally and externally.

Lol it won’t because this is literally nothing. They’ve been through much worse and Iran default response for the past few years has been to launch a bunch of blank rockets that run on Imam farts and then claim that they made Tel Aviv burn in “hell fire”.

These attacks are a signal from Iran that they don’t want a war with Israel and that this is the furthest they’ll go. They did the same thing when Haniyeh was killed in Tehran.

It is my firm opinion that all people are inherently stupid. We’re just apes that evolved to live in simple ape societies, but we somehow ended up living in insanely complex societies that are all interconnected with each other. It’s just too much for our ape brains to keep up with everything.

The intelligent thing to do is to commission studies and reach out programs to understand WHY far right parties like AfD are surging in the polls. That way you can actually understand the concerns of the people who choose to support these parties, the reasons why they’re supporting far right parties over less extreme alternatives, and what deradicalization methods are actually effective.

The dumb thing to do is to make assumptions as to why these parties are growing in popularity, and double down on them eternally regardless of how invalid or wrong those assumptions are. It’s equally as stupid to try to use force and censorship to exclude these people from public life instead of addressing the underlying issues that led to this situation in the first place. It’s like the establishment is trying to give these movements validation, martyrs, and reasons to radicalize further.